The 2022 FTX Collapse
Historical Context
November 2022. Rumors spread on Twitter that your digital asset custodian has mismatched liabilities. You have 90% of your liquid savings parked on the platform earning an 8% yield. The withdrawal queue is growing.
The Critical Decision Dilemma
What is your immediate response?
-
Choice: Initiate immediate withdrawal, pay the high priority transaction fees, and transfer assets to a cold vault. (Optimal Sovereign Action)
Lesson: In financial panics, speed beats yield. Custodial claims are unsecured. Getting your assets into self-custody removes counterparty default risk entirely.
-
Choice: Keep holdings on the platform to avoid losing the accrued yield, assuming security assurances are genuine. (Behavioral Failure Trap)
Lesson: You risked your principal savings to chase an 8% interest return. The exchange paused withdrawals 4 hours later, locking you into bankruptcy court claims for a fraction of your capital.
-
Choice: Hedge by purchasing native tokens of the exchange, expecting a price recovery once liquidity returns. (Behavioral Failure Trap)
Lesson: You doubled down on counterparty exposure. The native utility token collapsed 98% in 48 hours, accelerating your absolute capital loss.