Category: The Asset Bubbles | Difficulty: Hard

The 2021 Meme Stock Squeeze

Historical Context

Early 2021. Retail options buying has sent a retail stock up 2000%. Implied volatility is at 400%, and option premiums are extremely expensive.

The Critical Decision Dilemma

What is your risk management approach?

  • Choice: Cash out completely to cash reserves. Do not buy high implied-volatility contracts. (Optimal Sovereign Action)

    Lesson: Bubble peaks are highly volatile. Options premiums decay rapidly once retail momentum slows.

  • Choice: Buy short-dated out-of-the-money call options on margin to ride the squeeze. (Behavioral Failure Trap)

    Lesson: High implied volatility means options are overvalued. The stock corrected, and theta decay wiped out your premium.

  • Choice: Short the stock directly, assuming a valuation return to fundamentals. (Behavioral Failure Trap)

    Lesson: Unlimited risk. Shorting meme stocks exposes you to sudden margin calls before valuations normalize.