The 2021 Meme Stock Squeeze
Historical Context
Early 2021. Retail options buying has sent a retail stock up 2000%. Implied volatility is at 400%, and option premiums are extremely expensive.
The Critical Decision Dilemma
What is your risk management approach?
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Choice: Cash out completely to cash reserves. Do not buy high implied-volatility contracts. (Optimal Sovereign Action)
Lesson: Bubble peaks are highly volatile. Options premiums decay rapidly once retail momentum slows.
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Choice: Buy short-dated out-of-the-money call options on margin to ride the squeeze. (Behavioral Failure Trap)
Lesson: High implied volatility means options are overvalued. The stock corrected, and theta decay wiped out your premium.
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Choice: Short the stock directly, assuming a valuation return to fundamentals. (Behavioral Failure Trap)
Lesson: Unlimited risk. Shorting meme stocks exposes you to sudden margin calls before valuations normalize.